g., water-blown CO2 systems, liquid CO2 foam blowing, hydrocarbon foam blowing) (for residential buildings, commercial buildings) Solvents Alternative solvents (e.g., NIK aqueous, NIK semi-aqueous), retrofit options, 50 % reduction Manufacturing Semiconductor manufacturing (e.g., cleaning facility, recapture/destroy,

plasma abatement, catalytic destruction, thermal oxidation), aluminium production (e.g., retrofit), magnesium production (SO2 replacement) Electrical GF120918 manufacturer equipment Leakage reduction, device recycle Fire extinguishing Inert gas systems, carbon dioxide systems Future service demands A necessary step, in implementing AIM/Enduse[Global], is to set future service demands in each service and sector. In this study we project future service demand based on population and GDP scenarios. For the population scenario we apply a UN BIBF 1120 in vivo medium variant (UN 2009) in which the world population reaches 9.2 billion in 2050. For the GDP scenario we assume that the world GDP grows by 2.7 %/year from 2005 to 2050 on average, a rate similar to that in the SRES B2 scenario (Nakicenovich et al. 2000). The use of population and GDP scenarios enables us to project

future service demands such as industrial production, transport volume, etc., based on statistical model analyses. Akashi et al. (2011) and Hanaoka et al. (2009) offer detailed descriptions of service demand projections. Table 3 summarizes the socioeconomic GSK2245840 research buy scenarios and projected service demands in major regions. Global crude steel (-)-p-Bromotetramisole Oxalate production increases by an average of 2.0 %/year between 2005 and 2050, or by 2.4 times throughout the whole period. India has the highest rate of growth and becomes the world’s largest steel producer

in 2050. Global cement production in 2050 reaches 2.0 times the production level in 2005. China remains the largest cement producer up to 2050, but India has the highest rate of growth. Passenger and freight transport volume grow by about 2 %/year worldwide on average between 2005 and 2050, and the growth is especially fast in China and India. Industrialized regions have moderate rates of growth in industrial production and transport volume, as a consequence of relatively low rates of economic growth. Industrial production and transport volume decline in the long term in Japan, which has a decreasing population and the lowest rate of economic growth. Table 3 Summary of socioeconomic scenarios and projected service demands in major regions   World USA EU27 Japan Russia China India Population (million)  2005 6,535 303 490 127 143 1,320 1,131  2020 7,699 346 505 124 135 1,439 1,367  2050 9,171 404 494 102 116 1,426 1,614  CAGRa (%) 0.76 0.64 0.02 −0.50 −0.46 0.17 0.79 GDP (trillion US$2005)  2005 44.9 12.4 13.7 4.6 0.8 2.4 0.8  2020 66.1 16.1 17.2 5.2 1.3 6.9 2.1  2050 151.1 28.5 28.4 6.9 4.4 21.6 10.9  CAGRa (%) 2.73 1.86 1.63 0.92 3.97 4.98 6.